Aintree 4/4

The big day before the national sees some very good horses line up and some Cheltenham framers & some Cheltenham heros like Captain Cee Bee bless him.

I have a bout of flu so I'll make it quick

2.00 - Albertas Run €50 win @ 2.66& Big Bucks €25 place @ 1.72

2.35 - Souffleur €25 place @ 2.78

3.10 - Voy Por Ustedes €25 place @ 1.85

3.45 - Natal €50 win @ 16.5 & Botha Na €25 place @ 4.6

4.20 - Captain Cee Bee €50 win @ 2.36 & Greenbridge @ 2

4.55 - Alderburn €25 place @ 3.25

5.30 - Arguto Luna €25 place @ 3.15

I'll be back on tonight for the National.

Good Luck

JB

Dubia Results

A frustrating day in the desert twas last Saturday with Frankie having a winless day and some odd results thrown up.

2.40 - Blackcat Kitten €50 win @ 4 - €50
Elusive Warning €25 place @ 1.48 + €62

2.15 - My Indy €25 place @ 1.71 - €25

2.55 - Diabolical €50 win @ 4.3 - €50
Idiot Proof €25 place @ 2.28 + €82

3.55 - Literato €25 win @ 4.8 - €25
Darjina €25 place @ 3.05 + €101
Creachadoir €25 place @ 2.56 - €25

4.40 - West Win €25 place @ 5.5 - €25
Gravitas €25 place @ 12 - €25

5.30 - Curlin €50 lay @ 1.39 - €69
Jilhil €25 win @ 9.8 - €25
Asiatic Boy €25 place @ 2.74 + €93

Slightly up and I mean slightly, some placings got me out of what could have been a bad day.....still better in my pocket thn theirs!

End of Day Balance €1601

Dubai World Cup

Today in the oil rich desert of Dubai the World Cup of flat racing takes place with a staggering £1.8 million up for grabs.

The world's best horse was Dylan Thomas but that mantle has now been given to a horse called Curlin, all the way from America & is (in my opinion) not unbeatable but the bookies are running scared and he is as short as 2/5 with some shops (you need to put 5 quid on to win 2), this is good as this makes him an Essex girl (an easy lay) on Betfair/Betdaq but also gives much higher value to any other horse in the race.

I'm hoping for big performance from Lanfranco Detorri and his stable today, I want to see plenty of royal blue 1st past the post....My selections are a bit of a Frankie lovein but it's their track, their meeting and suits them for just about everything.

1.40 - Blackcat Kitten €50 win @ 4 & Elusive Warning €25 place @ 1.48

2.15 - My Indy €25 place @ 1.71

2.55 - Diabolical €50 win @ 4.3 & Idiot Proof €25 place @ 2.28

3.55 - Literato €25 win @ 4.8, Darjina €25 place @ 3.05 @ Creachadoir €25 place @ 2.56

4.40 - West Win €25 place @ 5.5 @ Gravitas €25 place @ 12

5.30 - Curlin €50 lay @ 1.39, Jilhil €25 win @ 9.8 & Asiatic Boy €25 place @ 2.74

Had no joy in the Irish National last Monday so my account balance is now €1582

Come on Frankie!!!

Good Luck

JB

Irish Grand National & Doncaster Results

Not a great start to the flat season with only one return in 6 bets but the flat season is a marathon not a sprint (except some of it is a sprint!).

2.50 - Zaahid €50 win @ 4 - €50
Don't Panic €25 place @ 2.5 + 87.5

3.25 - Advanced €50 win @ 11 - €5o
Lady Grace €25 place @ 5.1 - €25

4.00 - Rio River €50 win @ 9.8 - €50
Very Wise €25 @ 5.3 - €25

End of day balance €1657

The Irish National is on at Fairyhouse tomorrow, I had last years winner Butler's Cabin a a decent price so more of the same needed this year.

Most think a "National" is a close your eyes and point a pin or pick something with your girlfriends name in it but there are many stats to follow to shortlist a few hopefuls.

A quick run through some of the key trends for the race over the last ten running -

Only one winner aged 10 or over with 7 & 8 year olds being the most successful age group.
Only two winners over 11 stone with the weight bracket bringing in the most winners being 10 st.
There's no real trainer form to follow so it's all about the horse.
Favourites have a shocking record over the last ten years with 7 of the last 10 winners having had double figured odds.

I'm going for Well Run in this, fits all the stats, is in good nick and has won over course, ground and distance.

Fairyhouse 3.55 - Well Run €50 win @ 20.5 & €25 place @ 4.4

Good Luck Folks

JB

The Flat is Back

It's time to hang up the the tweed jacket and grandad cap for another year and dust off the top hat n tails the flat season starts today.

I've just recovered from Cheltenham and from what I've heard and read I seem to be in the minority that ended the week in the green so one gives thanks for that.

The flat is my thing, coming from the South of England Ascot,Newmarket, Goodwood and Epsom are in striking distance from my once home. Many an afternoon spent in the company of such greats as Lamtarra, Ouija Board, Sir Percy, High Chaperal,Takeover Target,Rockof Gibralter and recently Ramonti.

But the sunny Newmarket mile is a little over two months away and the Derby and Ascot are still a mark on the calender so the Shiek's helicopter comes into the Costa del Doncaster for the afternoon.

I'll look at three races this afternoon starting with:

Doncaster Spring Mile

A fresh horse does well historically here, who is aged 4 or 5 and is at the head of the market. I shall go for the favourite as his sire Sakhee was a champion miler and a highish draw should help.

2.50 - Zaahid €50 win @ 4
Don't Panic €2 place @ 2.5

Cammidge Trophy

The 1st big sprint of the year and I'll look for a horse that is again fresh and would have needed to have been in the Wentworth Stakes on this track last term or a big field handicap at Newmarket.

Two stand out for me.....Advance won the Ayr Gold Cup and Lady Grace did well at Newmarket last time out, it's a stiff task for her but she's good for a place in my opinion.

3.25 - Advanced €50 win @ 11
Lady Grace €25 place @ 5.1

Lincoln Heritage Handicap

Big race of the day and a big field, again I'm looking for a horse that performed well at a big field at Newmarket and ideally aged 4 - 6.

Two eye catchers here that have been given either a high or low draw.

4.00 - Rio River €50 win @ 9.8
Very Wide €25 @ 5.3

Good Luck Folks....I'll be back on either tomorrow or Monday for the Irish National.

JB

Cheltenham Result's

Well it's Sunday and the end of a very event full week. It started in sunny Spain at The Ramonti Residence, I st on my balcony soaking up the sun a world away from the gale force winds and lashing rain at home.

I'd spend months MONTHS with my head in form books, stats books, making endless notes on horses and trainers on racingpost.co.uk, watching reruns of races on attheraces.com and youtube. It can get obsessive but there's no point putting your money down with out the information to hand.....anyway that's what I think.

My system is to back horses on the strength of the previous 10 years stats, age, trainer, key trial races, betting patterns and form.

The 1st day my trusty trend knowledge served me well with a handsome €700 odd profit, but with a 5 year old (Katchit) breaking all the trends in the Champion Hurdle it started to put doubt in my mind that it might be one of those weeks......and it was.

So by the end of the days play on Tuesday I'm up and feeling good, I leave the sunshine of Spain and head back to Dublin where I'd watch the racing from the living room, but Gail force winds force the course directors to call it off and the races would be run on Thursday and Friday.

Thursday comes, I'm up, showered, shaved dress in my best and ready to go racing. Nothing beats being there but today was one of those days when all the annoyance of the year at work, the pricks who try my patience day after day, the things I disagree with & even the run up to Christmas 2006 all washed away when I stepped out of the balcony of Channel 4's box and looked out onto the course and in line with the finish line.

A racing fan couldn't get a better view and when I've figured out how to get the photo's off of my phone I'll stick them up. I kinda pride myself on the sporting events I've been to in my time (spent far too much money going to them but hey) but this had to be one of the best....couple of winners would have been nice!!

As much as it was great getting 10 top class races on Thursday, I would have prefer ed the week to have taken it's natural course, there was no rest bite and stakes were a little high for one days racing for me.

I travelled back a little merry to Dublin with my party, I got in about 1am....set my alarm as I had tickets for Gold Cup day and flights & catching up in London to do after.....but no, I was as sick as a pig when I woke up. I got showered and dressed, felt better then left the house only to get as far as the end of the drive and my day was all over. It was tough sending the text to the lads saying I wasn't going to be there.

Gold Cup day - I'd looked forward to it since last year, I should have been in Betfair's tent, swigging a nice pint, chatting away, pocket's bulging but I was at home lay ed out on my sofa with the duvet over me feeling worse than ever.

Voy Por Ustedes and My Way De Zolzan losing created a great big dent in Tuesday's profit and the 1st three races I had interest didn't help so bring on the Gold Cup. I can't remember the last time I'd picked up the Racingpost without there being some sort of reference to the Kauto Star v Denman head to head.

For those who read my pre Gold Cup post I'd pointed out that Kauto Star has had everything his own way this season and I had reservations about his stamina if tested. The race was run how I called it with Denman taking up the lead with a circuit to go. His jumping was sublime and the pace he set forced Kauto Star into mistakes as the turned for home Sam Thomas stoked up the tank and away he went.

Kauto Star battled for 2nd but was a beaten horse 4 fences out.....Denman got me back to winning ways but with 70% of the money bet on the Gold Cup going on Kauto Star it's great satisfaction to prove so many racing journalist wrong but the bookies cleaned up but they didn't clean up from everybody. I'd backed my system through out knowing it was the way to go and it backed me in my hour (or 6 and a half minutes) of need.

Here's the tale of it all.....

Tuesday -

2.00 - Captain Cee Bee €50 win @ 9.6, €25 place @ 3.9 - + €652

Sentry Duty €25 win @ 12.5, €25 place @ 3.95 - €50

2.35 - Nolan €50 win @ 3.25 - €50

3.15 - Osana €50 win antipost @ 14.6, €50 win @ 8.8 - €100 (well pissed off)

16.00 - Bob Hall €25 win @ 23 - €25

16.40 - Garde Champetre €50 win @ 6.6 + €380

Heads on the Ground €25 win @ 7.5 - €25

17.20 - Ashkazar €50 win @ 3.7 - €50

End of day balance €1,891

Thursday -

12.30 - Pass it on €25 place @8.4 - €25

13.05 - Silverburn €40 win @ 9.2 & €25 place @ 3.05 -€65
Verasi €25 place @ 6 - €25

13.40 - The Hairy Lemon €25 place @ 5.7 - €25

14.20 - Voy Por Ustedes €50 win @ 4 - €50
Twist Magic €25 win @ 4 - €25

14.55 - Turko €40 win @ 7.2 - €40

15.3o - My Way De Solzen €40 win @ 6.5 - €40

16.05 - Oedipe €25 place @ 4.2 - €25

Crozan €25 place @ 3.8 - €25

Patman Du Charmil €25 place @ 4.9 - €25

End of day balance €1,571 ouch!!

Gold Cup Day

13.05 - Breedsbreeze €50 win @ 10.5 - €50

13.40 - Song of Songs €50 win @ 8.2 - €50

14.15 - Franchoek €100 win @ 2.46 (you prick McCoy) - €100

15.30 - Denman €100 win @ 2.98 + €398 (told you all along)

End of week balance €1,769

So I'm €610 to the good for the week which taking into consideration the bookies have had the spoils over the course of the week I've not done badly. Thursday was a hard day on the bottom line and I'm thinking if I'm to make this goal of €25,000 I need my system to stand up in the big races and some funny things happened this week but it started well and it ended well.

I loved it this week, a real race fans week but the old foe banked a few quid but not off of me!

So up for the week and up for the year. Aintree in three weeks time so talk to you then.

Thanks

JB

€uro Millions

A mate back home & I have collaborated on an eachway acca that could net a million €/£.

You need a 1€/£ each way accumulator on the following -

12.30 - Gaspara
1.05 - Breedsbreeze
1.40 - County Zen
2.15 - Francheok
2.50 - Thetotherone
3.30 - Denman
4.05 - Bon accord
4.40 - saint saire
5.20 - Lark wing

If all of those horses place in their races at Cheltenham today for a 2 €/£ stake you'll net 1,000,000 plus, it's just bit of fun but worth a punt!!

Good Luck

JB